Research & Analysis

Lake-backed Swedish studies and public-league analytical notes — all in one Research feed. Prefer pieces marked as MotherDuck-sourced when you need citable numbers.

SDHL got calmer: how penalty minutes quietly fell off a cliff

Jul 28, 2026

Average PIM per SDHL game dropped from ~21 in 2016/17 toward the low teens while overtime nights bounced back — a jubilee read on a league that stopped living in the box.

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SDHL hat-tricks, 8–0 rivalries, and nights that went off the rails

Jul 22, 2026

From the SDHL jubilee export: who piles up hat-tricks, which matchups are one-way streets, and the 3–13 scorelines nobody wants on a highlight reel.

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SDHL home ice is a thin edge; imports punch above roster share

Jul 15, 2026

1,764 SDHL jubilee games: home teams win 51.9%, 36% decided by one goal. Foreign players are ~40% of rosters but score 62.4% of goals — data-backed, not vibes.

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GSAX in Conference Finals 2026: separating true goaltender talent from hot-streak variance

Jun 24, 2026

Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAX) is the metric that separates genuine Conference Finals goaltending performance from shot-quality-driven variance. Here is how to read it and what the 2026 numbers mean.

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Conference Finals 2026 forward line matching: how coaches deploy top lines against elite opposition

May 30, 2026

Line matching strategy, deployment data, and forward matchup analytics for Conference Finals 2026. How coaches use zone starts, last-change advantage, and TOI to control which lines face which.

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Conference Finals 2026 Possession Breakdown: 5-on-5 Corsi and xG for Each Matchup

May 28, 2026

5-on-5 Corsi and expected goals data for all four Conference Finals 2026 teams — Carolina, Montreal, Vegas, and Colorado. Which matchups were possession contests and which were goaltender-driven variance games?

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