Research & Analysis

Lake-backed Swedish studies and public-league analytical notes — all in one Research feed. Prefer pieces marked as MotherDuck-sourced when you need citable numbers.

SHL clubs beat coaches: returning cores win, age does not

Sep 1, 2026

52 SHL team-seasons: roster continuity correlates 0.32 with points share; mean age does not. Coaching churn barely matters. Prior for 2026/27: Frölunda, Växjö, Skellefteå, Rögle.

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SHL timeout sequel: Färjestad hammers it, Växjö barely touches it

Aug 31, 2026

Part 3 of our SHL timeout study: which clubs used the 30-second break over five seasons. HV71 in half their games, Växjö in 23%. Timrå and Örebro mostly press it trailing.

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SHL referees are not interchangeable: 23 officials over five seasons

Aug 31, 2026

1,854 SHL games: league average 5.52 penalties per game. Officials with 150+ assignments range from Tobias Björk (5.82) to Johan Wedin (4.94) — assignment rates, not who-called-it.

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SHL timeout sequel: the coaches who never leave it in the pocket

Aug 28, 2026

Part 2 of our SHL timeout study: which coaches used the 30-second break most over five seasons, the 2021/22 dip, and why the empty-net gamble still looks like a bad lottery ticket.

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Do SHL Timeouts Work? 1,303 Coach's Breaks Over 5 Seasons

Aug 26, 2026

1,303 coach's timeouts in 1,854 SHL games (2020/21–2024/25): 63% while trailing, 81% in period 3, 83% followed by a goalie pull. The break rarely flips the score.

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Not all SHL clubs develop juniors the same — three seasons of JITS%

Aug 12, 2026

JITS% across SHL grundserie 2023/24–2025/26: Skellefteå averages 14.7% U20 skater TOI; Färjestad 2.5%. Same league, very different junior development bets.

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