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Not all SHL clubs develop juniors the same — three seasons of JITS%

By The Hockey Analytics HQ on Aug 12, 2026

Every SHL club talks about developing juniors. The ice time they actually give them tells a different story.

We measured Junior Ice-Time Share (JITS%) — the share of skater ice that goes to players aged 20 or under on game day — across three SHL grundserie seasons in our MotherDuck lake. Goalies are excluded. Unknown dates of birth are treated as non-U20 (that can understate JITS% for true juniors; it does not invent ice that was not played).

The short version

  • Skellefteå AIK averages 14.7% JITS% over three seasons (peak 22.6% in 2024/25).
  • HV71 is close behind at 13.6%.
  • Färjestad BK sits at 2.5% — and 0.7% in 2025/26.
  • Same league rules. Very different junior ice. “All clubs develop equally” does not survive the TOI ledger.

How we define it

JITS% = sum(U20 skater TOI seconds) / sum(skater TOI seconds)
  • League: SHL grundserie only
  • Seasons: 2023/24, 2024/25, 2025/26
  • Source: shl_analytics.analytics.fact_player_game in MotherDuck
  • Export date: 2026-08-10
  • Mean missing-TOI share across the three-season club set: 0.4%

Club ladder (three-season average)

ClubJITS% avgRange (min–max season)
Skellefteå AIK14.78.0 – 22.6
HV7113.610.7 – 16.4
Rögle BK8.44.1 – 12.4
Frölunda HC8.05.4 – 9.7
Malmö Redhawks6.64.7 – 9.2
Timrå IK5.51.3 – 12.1
Växjö Lakers5.44.2 – 6.3
Örebro HK4.93.8 – 5.7
Linköping HC4.52.0 – 8.0
Luleå HF4.53.0 – 6.7
Leksands IF4.32.3 – 7.0
Färjestad BK2.50.7 – 5.4

Skellefteå’s 2024/25 season alone put 22.6% of skater ice on U20s — names like Axel Sandin Pellikka (45 GP, 20.6 avg TOI minutes that season in our individual table) show what “real ice” looks like. Färjestad’s 2025/26 share was 0.7%. That is not a rounding error; it is a roster construction choice.

Coaches see the same spread

Multi-season coach averages in the same export put Robert Ohlsson at 15.2% JITS% across three seasons and Anton Blomqvist at 14.9% over two. Bottom single seasons include MoDo 2023/24 at 0.1% under Mattias Karlin. Coaching tenures and club identity both show up in the TOI share — neither looks like league-wide equality.

What this is not

  • Not a claim that high JITS% wins the SHL title.
  • Not Elite Prospects on-demand enrichment sold as a customer fact table (enrichment was used in the export pipeline; the TOI math is lake-native).
  • Not a prediction that every high-JITS junior becomes an NHL regular — that is a separate, longer pathway question.

It is a falsification of the casual myth that Swedish elite clubs are interchangeable development environments. The ice says otherwise.

Where to go next

Export: jits_export.json · MotherDuck shl_analytics · The Hockey Analytics, Stockholm.

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