Cliché Check

Big summer signings pay off immediately

Top scorers who switch clubs usually drop off – but no more than top scorers who stay. It is regression to the mean, not the move.

Data through 2025/26

Myth

SHL Data through 2025/26 · SHL

Club changers who improved

29.4%

Stayers who improved

31.8%

What the data says

SHL 2022/23–2025/26: players with at least 0.6 points per game who changed clubs (n=17) went from 0.72 to 0.67; only 29.4% improved.
Equally productive players who stayed (n=85) went from 0.74 to 0.64; 31.8% improved.

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