≥70% return
36.1%
55–70%
32.2%
<55%
33.1%
Chart values = mean points percentage.
Key findings
- Returning-core share vs points%: r = 0.32.
- Mean core age vs points%: r = −0.05 — age is not the lever in this window.
- 19 coaching changes vs 29 keeps: mean Δ pts% −0.011 vs −0.005.
- 2026/27 prior top four (not a lock): Frölunda, Växjö, Skellefteå, Rögle — aligned with 2025/26 grundserie table in the lake.
What this means for a club or media team
Clubs planning summer moves should weight who stays over the headline coaching hire. Media can frame “new coach era” stories with the modest historical delta — organisation level persists. Agents still care about usage within a stable core vs a reset roster.
Full research note: read on Research →